Home > Top Performing Stocks in March (Seasonality)

Top Performing Stocks in March (Seasonality)

These are stocks that excel in March, rising at least 79% of the time and producing as much as 9.8% gains, on average, during the month. Stocks mentioned: QCOM, MAS, AME, BBY, TIF, MDU, BIG, JACK, SBUX, PX, WSM, WMB, TJX, SIG, PII, PEP, MKC, FL, and EOG.

Seasonality is the study of how assets perform at certain times of the year. The stocks below show a strong tendency to rise in March, historically. That doesn’t mean they will rally this March, though. Seasonality is best used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and specific trading strategies, such as the ones discussed in the Stock Market Swing Trading Video Course.

Before getting into the best historical March stock performers, stocks as a whole, as gauged by S&P 500 index, tend to do well in March. Over the last 20 years, the index has moved higher 65% of the time (number on top of March column), and the average return is 2.1% (number at bottom of March column).

March seasonality SP 500
StockCharts.com

Strong Seasonality Stocks for March

The statistics below are based on the historic monthly opening and closing prices. Therefore, gains or losses within the month may be larger than those disclosed below. For example, a statistic may say the biggest rally on a monthly basis was 10%, but during the month the stock could have been up 16%, but dropped to only finish the month up 10% (intra-month losses could also be bigger). This is why it is also recommended traders combine these statistics with other strategies, which help control risk and lock in profits.

Buying at the open and close of the month is also somewhat arbitrary. There are more precise times to take trades. Focus on seasonal opportunities that align with strategies you are already using.

This is the raw data. How you interpret it, and what you opt to do with it, is up to you.

All stocks do at least 500K in average daily volume.  Stocks with average or median gains of less than 3% are typically excluded.

88% Rally Rate

Qualcomm Inc, The (QCOM)

Price has rallied 23 out of 26 years, or 88%.

Average March gain is 9.66%.

In the rising months (23) the average gain has been: 11.57%.

In declining months (3) the average loss is -5.03%.

Biggest gain is 70.33%, and biggest drop is -7.97%.

86% Rally Rate

Masco Corp (MAS)

Price has rallied 24 out of 28 years, or 86%.

Average March gain is 5.3%.

In the rising months (24) the average gain has been: 7.24%.

In declining months (4) the average loss is -6.38%.

Biggest gain is 35.51%, and biggest drop is -10.29%.



AMTEK Inc (AME)

Price has rallied 24 out of 28 years, or 86%.

Average March gain is 5.04%.

In the rising months (24) the average gain has been: 6.14%.

In declining months (4) the average loss is -1.53%.

Biggest gain is 18.92%, and biggest drop is  -3.17%.




84% Rally Rate

Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY)

Price has rallied 21 out of 25 years, or 84%.

Average March gain is 7.2%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 9.13%.

In declining months (4) the average loss is -2.97%.

Biggest gain is 38.79%, and biggest drop is -7%.



82% Rally Rate

Tiffany & Co (TIF)

Price has rallied 23 out of 28 years, or 82%.

Average March gain is 6.75%.

In the rising months (23) the average gain has been 9.56%.

In declining months (5) the average loss is -6.21%.

Biggest gain is 30.84%, and biggest drop is -12.3%.




MDU Resources Group (MDU)

Price has rallied 23 out of 28 years, or 82%.

Average March gain is 5.64%.

In the rising months (23) the average gain has been 7.56%.

In declining months (5) the average loss is -3.17%.

Biggest gain is 27.25%, and biggest drop is -5.96%.



Big Lots Inc (BIG)

Price has rallied 23 out of 28 years, or 82%.

Average March gain is 8.35%.

In the rising months (23) the average gain has been: 12.74%.

In declining months (5) the average loss is -11.82%.

Biggest gain is 33.98%, and biggest drop is -35.2%.



81% Rally Rate

Jack In The Box Inc (JACK)

Price has rallied 21 out of 26 years, or 81%.

Average March gain is 4.22%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 6.08%.

In declining months (5) the average loss is -3.59%.

Biggest gain is 19.8%, and biggest drop is -10.27%.




80% Rally Rate

Starbucks Corp (SBUX)

Price has rallied 20 out of 25 years, or 80%.

Average March gain is 5.91%.

In the rising months (20) the average gain has been: 8.68%.

In declining months (5) the average loss is -5.18%.

Biggest gain is 32.22% and biggest drop is -12.14%.




Praxair Inc (PX)

Price has rallied 20 out of 25 years, or 80%.

Average March gain is 4.88%.

In the rising months (20) the average gain has been: 7.13%.

In declining months (5) the average loss is -4.13%.

Biggest gain is 23.89% and biggest drop is -7.77%.



79% Rally Rate

William-Sonoma Inc (WSM)

Price has rallied 23 out of 29 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 8.11%.

In the rising months (23) the average gain has been: 12.16%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -7.4%.

Biggest gain is 53.01%, and biggest drop is -17.37%.




The Williams Companies Inc. (WMB)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 5.25%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 7.64%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -3.51%.

Biggest gain is 53.82% and biggest drop is -8.19%.




The TJX Companies Inc (TJX)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 6.43%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 8.6%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -1.56%.

Biggest gain is 39.09% and biggest drop is -3.02%.




Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 8.57%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 12.44%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -5.63%.

Biggest gain is 54.69% and biggest drop is -17.74%.


Polaris Industries Inc (PII)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 5.2%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 8.28%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -6.08%.

Biggest gain is 16.45% and biggest drop is -12.55%.




Pepsico Inc (PEP)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 3.47%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 5.21%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -2.92%.

Biggest gain is 17.3% and biggest drop is -5.99%.




McCormick & Company Inc (MKC)

Price has rallied 23 out of 29 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 3.87%.

In the rising months (23) the average gain has been: 6.01%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -4.34%.

Biggest gain is 18.6% and biggest drop is -8.95%.


Foot Locker Inc (FL)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 9.8%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 14.32%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -6.8%.

Biggest gain is 57.15% and biggest drop is -31.22%.




EOG Resources Inc (EOG)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average March gain is 5.96%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 8.36%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -2.83%.

Biggest gain is 38.82% and biggest drop is -5.41%.



Final Word on the Strong March Seasonality Stocks

This is the raw data. What you do with it is up to you. All traders are encouraged to do their own research and apply their own strategies if utilizing these statistics.

Each stock has a different risk profile. While the ‘average gain’ statistic is a key metric, it doesn’t tell the whole story. Making 7% may seem attractive but when looking at the volatility it may be more than you are willing to handle. Therefore, look at the all the data when deciding what to trade. Apply other technical and fundamental metrics to help zero-in on exact entry and exit points. Seasonality is not covered in my stock trading course, because it is a not a requirement for successful trading. That said, it is an additional tool you can use.

Losing trades WILL happen. Don’t risk more than 1% of your trading account on a trade (risk = difference between entry price and stop loss price, multiplied by the number of shares). There is always a risk in trading, and you can lose much more than you expect (even when you think you are only risking 1%).

By Cory Mitchell, CMT

Disclaimer: This article should not be viewed as investment advice, and is not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

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