Home > Top Performing Stocks in February (Seasonality)

Top Performing Stocks in February (Seasonality)

These are stocks that excel in February, rising at least 75% of the time and producing as much as 8% gains, on average, during the month. Stocks mentioned: HSY, ETN, EAT, BIG, AON, TEX, PBCT, VFC, TTC, HP, HON, and BC.

Seasonality is the study of how assets perform at certain times of the year. The stocks below show a strong tendency to rise in February, historically. That doesn’t mean they will rally this February, though. Seasonality is best used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and specific trading strategies, such as the ones discussed in the Stock Market Swing Trading Video Course.

Before getting into the best historical February stock performers, stocks as a whole, as gauged by S&P 500 index, tend to be flat in February. Over the last 20 years, the index has moved higher 55% of the time (number on top of February column), and the average return is 0.0% (number at bottom of February column).

February stock performance seasonality
Source: StockCharts.com

Strong Seasonality Stocks for February

The statistics below are based on the historic monthly opening and closing prices. Therefore, gains or losses within the month may be larger than those disclosed below. For example, a statistic may say the biggest rally on a monthly basis was 10%, but during the month the stock could have been up 16%, but dropped to only finish the month up 10% (intra-month losses could also be bigger). This is why it is also recommended traders combine these statistics with other strategies, which help control risk and lock in profits.

Buying at the open and close of the month is also somewhat arbitrary. There are more precise times to take trades. Focus on seasonal opportunities that align with strategies you are already using.

This is the raw data. How you interpret it, and what you opt to do with it, is up to you.

All stocks do at least 500K in average daily volume.  Stocks with average or median gains of less than 3% are typically excluded.

89% Rally Rate

Hershey Company, The (HSY)

Price has rallied 25 out of 28 years, or 89%.

Average February gain is 4.29%.

In the rising months (25) the average gain has been: 5.49%.

In declining months (3) the average loss is -5.72%.

Biggest gain is 12.81%, and biggest drop is -8.86%.



86% Rally Rate

Eaton Corporation PLC (ETN)

Price has rallied 24 out of 28 years, or 86%.

Average February gain is 3.77%.

In the rising months (24) the average gain has been: 5.36%.

In declining months (4) the average loss is -5.73%.

Biggest gain is 12.55%, and biggest drop is -16.9%.



79% Rally Rate

Brinker International Inc. (EAT)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average February gain is 4.41%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 7.37%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -6.45%.

Biggest gain is 24.71%, and biggest drop is -14.4%.





Big Lots (BIG)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average February gain is 7.91%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been: 12.07%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -7.34%.

Biggest gain is 50.93%, and biggest drop is -21.04%.




Aon PLC (AON)

Price has rallied 22 out of 28 years, or 79%.

Average February gain is 4.12%.

In the rising months (22) the average gain has been 6.72%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -5.4%.

Biggest gain is 16.78%, and biggest drop is -17.97%.



78% Rally Rate

Terex Corporation (TEX)

Price has rallied 21 out of 27 years, or 78%.

Average February gain is 7.11%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 13.19%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -14.18%.

Biggest gain is 36.06%, and biggest drop is -47.84%.




People’s United Financial Inc. (PBCT)

Price has rallied 21 out of 27 years, or 78%.

Average February gain is 6.65%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 9.22%.

In declining months (6) the average loss is -2.33%.

Biggest gain is 72.07%, and biggest drop is -6.22%.




75% Rally Rate

VF Corporation (VFC)

Price has rallied 21 out of 28 years, or 75%.

Average February gain is 4.85%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 7.90%.

In declining months (7) the average loss is -4.30%.

Biggest gain is 15.63% and biggest drop is -7.35%.




Toro Company, The (TTC)

Price has rallied 21 out of 28 years, or 75%.

Average February gain is 3.71%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 7.32%.

In declining months (7) the average loss is -7.11%.

Biggest gain is 18.73% and biggest drop is -26.22%.




Helmerich & Payne Inc. (HP)

Price has rallied 21 out of 28 years, or 75%.

Average February gain is 4.95%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 8.76%.

In declining months (7) the average loss is -6.46%.

Biggest gain is 19.06%, and biggest drop is -15.96%.




Honeywell International Inc. (HON)

Price has rallied 21 out of 28 years, or 75%.

Average February gain is 3.25%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 5.85%.

In declining months (7) the average loss is -4.58%.

Biggest gain is 14.82% and biggest drop is -17.42%.




Brunswick Corporation (BC)

Price has rallied 21 out of 28 years, or 75%.

Average February gain is 4%.

In the rising months (21) the average gain has been: 7.31%.

In declining months (7) the average loss is -5.91%.

Biggest gain is 15.63% and biggest drop is -13.92%.



Final Word on the Strong February Seasonality Stocks

This is the raw data. What you do with it is up to you. All traders are encouraged to do their own research and apply their own strategies if utilizing these statistics.

Each stock has a different risk profile. While the ‘average gain’ statistic is a key metric, it doesn’t tell the whole story. Making 7% may seem attractive but when looking at the volatility it may be more than you are willing to handle. Therefore, look at the all the data when deciding what to trade. Also, apply other technical and fundamental metrics to help zero-in on exact entry and exit points. Seasonality is not covered in my stock trading course, because it is a not a requirement for successful trading. That said, it is an additional tool you can use.

Losing trades WILL happen. Don’t risk more than 1% of your trading account on a trade (risk = difference between entry price and stop loss price, multiplied by the number of shares). There is always a risk in trading, and you can lose much more than you expect (even when you think you are only risking 1%).

By Cory Mitchell, CMT

Disclaimer: This article should not be viewed as investment advice, and is not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

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