Category: Commodity Analysis

Stock Market Outlook and 3 Questions to Ask of Your Trading Plan

Stock and Commodities Outlook In a recent Oil and Gas Investments Bulletin I looked at the relationship between commodities and stocks. Moving in virtual lockstep over the last few years the two asset classes have recently decoupled. In this article I explain what I believe the decoupling implies and ultimately where I think it will take the…

Why Economic Forecasts Often Fail – Linear Thinking

Why Economic Forecasts Often Fail [Linear Thinking] Linear thinking often utterly misses the mark in making an economic forecast. [Originally published] April 13, 2010 By Elliott Wave International Let’s begin with a paradox: The one constant in our society is dramatic change. This is the main reason why projecting present conditions into the future often fails. “If…

Seasonality – Dollar Index Seasonal Trends (DX)

Seasonality – Dollar Index Seasonal Trends (DX) By Cory Mitchell, CMT Seasonality, for trading purposes, is the tendency of a tradable to rally or decline at certain times of the year. Knowing the high probability seasonal trends can provide a context for other forms of analysis, and can also aid in entering and exiting positions…

Most reliable trade in Canada…Natural Gas. Find out how

This is part 2 of an article I wrote for the Oil and Gas Investment Bulletin.  Part 1 looked at arguably one of the most reliable trades over the last several years in the Canadian market. Part 2 looks at when to get in–and it is coming up soon. It also explains why the trade will…

The most reliable trade in Canada

One of the most reliable trades in Canada since 2008 has taken place within a commodity ETF–the trick is, you have to be short. In a recent article I wrote for the Oil and Gas Investments Bulletin I take a look at this ETF, the structural problems with it which make it an ideal short,…

Which stocks should fare well in Macro Turmoil?

I wrote a two part article for the Oil and Gas Investment Newsletter.  The article looked first at the Macro Dilemma of how global oil production directly impacts global GDP and Debt.  The dilemma is that decreasing global production should push the price of oil higher, yet since a decline in oil production brings down…

The Simple Magic of Moving Averages

The Simple Magic of Moving Averages How Moving Averages Can Alert You to Future Price Expansions  October 21, 2011 By Elliott Wave International To a first-time observer, watching a technical analyst spot a major trend change in a financial market before it occurs can seem as mystical as pulling a rabbit out of hat. But…

Copper explodes higher, good for stocks

Copper is currently up about 7% today to 3.4510 on the December contract (HG).  This is definatley good for stocks (currently up about 1%), yet copper will need to continue higher to keep the push going in stocks over the long-term.  I highlighted copper in my post-market analysis on Friday. Copper remains depressed, well below…

It’s FreeWeek at EWI: Get Complimentary Commodity Forecasts, Video Analysis, Trading Lessons and More!

Elliott Wave International has just announced the beginning of their popular commodity FreeWeek event, where non-subscribers can test-drive some of their most popular premium services. Now through noon Thursday, October 27 (Eastern time), you’ll get complete access to all of EWI’s most-promising daily, weekly and monthly opportunities in the world’s leading commodities, plus all the…

The Gold Trade – What to Do?

Gold has recovered almost all of the losses it saw a couple weeks back when GLD (the Gold ETF) slid from a high of 184.82 to 168.88 in the course of 4 trading sessions (almost 9%).  This brought a lot of talk into the market that the trend had ended – I remained unconvinced. I…

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